The backlash around the web against Juno continues to grow by the day, yet for some reason everyone still wants to talk about all the reasons why it just might pull off an upset on Sunday night. The positive energy around the comedy’s Best Picture run got a swift kick in the pants thanks to Scott Feinberg, who predicted the upset in his final predictions earlier this week.
Earlier today, Jeffrey Wells posted a little blurb on his site about an email he received from a director friend in London. His friend made the comment that Juno is ‘everywhere’ over there and that all the producers are talking about how it could very well steal the award from No Country for Old Men and There Will Be Blood.
Furthermore, Reuters released a survey of 1,100 American adults today that showed Juno as the public favorite to win Best Pic, taking 29% of the vote to No Country‘s 25%. That’s a slim margin, I know, but that’s all that Juno really needs in the end. If one thing is for certain, this year’s Best Picture winner isn’t going to win by a landslide.
In fact, many industry insiders and pundits are saying (some under their breath, of course) that the two grim favorites, No Country and There Will Be Blood could split most of the vote, leaving Juno to run in and snag the Oscar right out from under both of them. It’s unfortunate to think that two very deserving films would both lose, but the fact is that they were released in the same year — sometimes that is just how the cookie crumbles.
As well, I don’t think it would take anything away from those two great films should Juno walk away with Best Picture. They are both fantastic films, yes. But they also are two very similarly toned films, whereas Juno sticks out like a sore thumb among the other nominees. And sometimes standing out can outweigh a film’s true worth — look at Crash.
From where I am sitting, I am still cautiously holding out hope for Juno, as it was hands down my favorite film of the year. It was the most creative, unique and well-made film of the year. Sure it was light and at times very poppy, but when you look past the $100+ million dollar box office and the hype, you see that its appeal is based on some brilliant performances and a moviegoing experience that hits at the very heart of every audience member. It is similar to the way I felt about Little Miss Sunshine last year — I really wanted to see it win Best Picture, but it was hard to argue with The Departed taking home the award. It is a tough position for a movie fan to be put in, as there are a few films that should very reasonably be recognized as the best of the year. In the end though, it isn’t up to us. It is up to the Academy. Good luck figuring out how to predict their next move.
Sound Off: Do you think Juno is going to pull of the upset on Sunday night? If not, which one of the other nominees is going to take home Oscar’s gold?